N_Fiddledog N_Fiddledog:
Zipperfish Zipperfish:
N_Fiddledog N_Fiddledog:
I prefer to think of Earth Day as Awareness of the Second Law of Thermodynamics Day.
Hey, can you explain something to me. You're the second guy in a week I've heard spreading the meme the second law of thermodynamics demands catastrophic global warming.
I'm baffled by that. Doesn't the second law of thermodynamics demand entropy leading to equilibrium? Doesn't it say stuff like "Heat generally cannot spontaneously flow from a material at lower temperature to a material at higher temperature".
That would demand negative feedbacks wouldn't it - which are the predominant feedbacks in a real world system. Doesn't catastrophic global warming theory demand positive feedbacks? The warming we can expect to experience, even if we accept the idea the CO2 forcing we can notice in a lab will convert to similar warming in the real world, isn't that much. Catastrophic global warming demands positive feedbacks occur which will at least triple the warming. How does the second law of thermodynamics explain that?
Great video btw Mtbr.
First , to be clear, neither myself nor the second law of thermodynamics says that catastrophic global warming is imminent.
The Second Law states that entropy increases. Whenever we extract useful energy (work) from the environment, we necessarily degrade it (which increases entropy).
That's the lesson in my opinion. Anyone who talks about a win/win for humans and the environment is blowing smoke up your ass. We thrive at the expense of our environment, necessarily.
I don't think the Second law relates directly to ecosystem feedback, positive or negative. The mathematics realting to feedbacks is different although (like the Second Law) it is related to the concept of equilibrium. Those that subscribe to the theory of catastrophic warming believe that the claimte will reach a tipping point, after which irreversible events will happen. An analogy is that CO2 forcing is like pushing a ball to the top of a hill (the tipping point) and if the ball rolls down the other side it will settle on a new equilibrium that may be far from its present equilibrium (like what we think happened on Venus, for example). Positive feedback helps push the ball up the hill; negative feedback acts against the forcing.
Either way, equilibrium is maintained, but a new equilibrium might not be as amenable to humans as the present one.
I'm with you; I think that negative feedbacks tend to be overlooked in climate change. Systems tend to try to veer themselves back to equilibrium (negative feedback). The more systems stray from equilbrium, the more sudden the negative feedback tends to be (tornadoes, for example, are an example of a forceful negative feedback effect). Some of these negative feedback mechanisms are likely not predicted by GCMs, in my opinion.