$1:
My think-tank friend in Washington observed last week: ‘Democracy only works where there is a broad consensus about the distribution of wealth and power.’ And it is because this consensus faces unprecedented stresses in consequence of migration in Europe, that he believes some factions may resort to violence, even outright war.
I think we're seeing signs of that in the US, and it's got nothing to do with Muslims
$1:
Strife will continue, and spread across the Middle East. There is no single, over-arching course of action open to the U.S. or Nato governments that can resolve this alarming state of affairs. It can only be addressed piecemeal, through local diplomatic initiatives and modest military assistance.
He predicts that the seismic turbulence in the Middle East will continue, and indeed worsen, unless or until the West is willing to commit stabilisation forces to the region. He calculates that an army of the order of magnitude of 450,000 men would be necessary, to have any chance of success.
Bit of a contradiction in the piece there.
As the writer says, the biggest push of these people flooding into Europe is poverty and want. It's got nothing to do with Islam. I read a piece some time ago that also predicted this push from the poor to the rich countries, and said there isn't an army in the world that will be able to stop it. Add to that the predicted climate change refugees, and it looks like this movement is inevitable. Oh, well, we had fun while it lasted.