[Newsbot]

Title: Icy Air From Slipping Polar Vortex
Category: Weather
Posted By: N_Fiddledog
Date: 2014-11-10 09:52:50
Canadian

[N_Fiddledog]

[BartSimpson]

"Polar vortex" being the new buzzword for describing "winter".

[N_Fiddledog]

There's a positive to that.

Used to be cold weather on the American channels was always simply described as a "cold front" moving down from "Canada".

Now we can beat the rap. "Hey, wasn't us. It was that damned Polar Vortex".

[andyt]

The Japanese did it.

[Jabberwalker]

that damned Polar Vortex

DuPont chemicals did it!

[Regina]

It's not winter yet........that's why these temps frighten me. That's just plain fucking nasty cold weather.

[Caelon]

Regina Regina:

It's not winter yet........that's why these temps frighten me. That's just plain fucking nasty cold weather.

It is nothing unusual. Most years in October or November we get a 1 to 2 week cold snap. We had a pretty nice October so I guess it is November's turn.

[Caelon]

Just checked and found out there is a 90% chance this will be an El Nino year. That would be great as it makes for a mild winter in our area if it is a strong versus weak El Nino. Some other parts of the world won't be as thrilled with how it affects their weather.

[N_Fiddledog]

Caelon Caelon:

Just checked and found out there is a 90% chance this will be an El Nino year.

Where?

NOAA is telling me this...

$1:

ENSO Alert System Status: El Niño WatchENSO
-
neutral conditions continue.*
Positive equatorial sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies continue across most of the Pacific Ocean.


There is a 58% chance of El Niño during the Northern Hemisphere winter,
which is favored to last into the Northern Hemisphere spring 2015.*

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... ts-web.pdf

[Freakinoldguy]

Caelon Caelon:

Just checked and found out there is a 90% chance this will be an El Nino year. That would be great as it makes for a mild winter in our area if it is a strong versus weak El Nino. Some other parts of the world won't be as thrilled with how it affects their weather.

Strange because I just found this which seems to contradict what you found.

http://www.vox.com/2014/11/8/7177709/el ... -weakening

So once again one of the only two professions in the world which can be 100% wrong and still keep their job seems to be hedging their bets.

[N_Fiddledog]

In any case, I sometimes wonder how much money a person could make betting against such predictions.

But yeah FOG, thanks. I think I get the discrepancy between the two predictions now.

$1:

The National Weather Service's Climate Prediction Center has dropped the odds of El Niño appearing this winter down to 58 percent (a few months ago, those odds were at 80 percent). And if El Niño does form, forecasters now think it will be a "weak" one — not a strong event, as once thought.