N_Fiddledog N_Fiddledog:
DrCaleb DrCaleb:
No, the fact the N_F is discussing things randomly is. Makes me think that he actually sees that the trend line shows a continuing rise in sea levels, but he wants to change the subject rather than deal with that.
Oh for God's sake.
Can you honestly not tell the difference between the idea of rising sea levels and rising rate of rise?
Can you actually read the part of my argument that says anything of the sort, or is that another thing you made up and are blaming me for?
N_Fiddledog N_Fiddledog:
I'm saying sea levels have been rising for thousands of years.
And I'm not arguing that.
Bart said "You have to provide proof that sea level is actually rising due to this supposed glacial event. " I showed, using satellite data, that sea levels are rising contradictory to the tide gauge measurements. But it's impossible to show a trend that hasn't happened yet, as this study predicts the
future of the glacier melting.
N_Fiddledog N_Fiddledog:
The argument of rising sea levels now, is actually an argument about rising rate of rise, and as I understand it, it relies on a recent 20 year trend measured against the 20th century trend of sea level rise.
Ok. Seems reasonable. A little too short of a time for a real trend to develop I think.
N_Fiddledog N_Fiddledog:
I'm saying even if we accept all that all you seem to be talking about is rise in rate of increase of 6 inches per century, and that's nothing to worry about. That isn't confirmation bias. That isn't imagination. That's math.
If you want to argue it, defeat the math.
I gave no math to defeat! You are the one going on about your 6 inches, not me. And once again, your confirmation bias kicks in when you see glacial melt models that show you doom and gloom and refuse to consider that they may be based on actual events happening in Alaska and other parts of Greenland - and you refuse to believe that the computer models can be real because of it! That's
Confirmation Bias!
The computer models predict that seas will rise quite considerably over the next thousand years once that glacier starts to melt. Just from that one glacier! That's the whole reason to limit warming to 2 degrees, as soon as possible. From the melt pattern of other glaciers, once they start to slide on the melt water released, they accelerate rapidly. And once the seas rise, Antarctica will also see the kind of melting that the West Antarctica is now.
Your old pal James Hanson just did a computer simulation on all sorts of wonderful scenarios as to what may happen when the seas rise from glacial melt. I'm sure we'll all get a peek at it once the peer review is finished, and the accompanying rolling eyes from the Deniers at the Heartland Institution.