andyt andyt:
in the water. An explosion is going to show up a lot more readily than just the plane. So maybe the airframe just disintegrated. Unlikely scenario, but who knows. But a missile fired at the plane, then the plane exploding, I would expect satellites to be able to pick that up.
That's the rub though; if they have continuous coverage of the area, then they saw what happened. They'll know exactly where it went down in the water.
If there isn't continuous coverage, they'll know where it was supposed to be and the limits of where it could be given it's speed.