Zipperfish Zipperfish:
The power of the US would diminish globally anyway with the resurrection of Russia and the rise of China--factors it has little control over.
That's why I think Trump was America's Nero moment.
- America's hard power (military intimidation, economic warfare) has increased incredibly; it's their soft power (diplomacy, foreign aid) that's in steep decline as they turn from a friendly nation that provided aid into a post-9/11 permanently angry & paranoid one; in Africa, for example, China has rushed in to finance business and local aid projects that the US used to do but no longer does in the name of "austerity" in foreign spending
- Russia is not resurrecting; their demographics are still in a state of collapse with fewer children being born; their collective alcoholism is a major social crisis, sanctions against them for the invasion of Ukraine effectively kneecapped their economy, and the system of pandemic gangsterism that's thrived under Putin makes Russia a place where legitimate business and capital will not invest
- China is what it is but their aims are still solidly more to becoming the regional great power and leader than it is to world domination; they are nothing to fear along the same lines as the Soviet Union was during the Cold War, not when they're far better off being a supplier to the world than just another militarist oppressor
- I'd say Trump was more Commodus than Nero; Nero was more of a one-off degenerate side-step as Rome was still growing in power; Commodus however was the cruel and vicious wastrel that is commonly seen as the beginning of the end of the line of "good" emperors, and his reign effectively kicked off the crisis of Rome's third century; I see the exact same thing with Trump and the US, in that he is the most vivid marker of a cross-culture collapse of morals & ethics in America, with a celebration of brutality and base mean-ness erupting just like it did under Commodus and others of his ilk like Caracalla; the worst part is that the modern American political system doesn't appear to be capable of producing the sort of Septimius Severus type of occasional saviour that the US will be desperately needing (and soon)